During his inaugural
address on January 5, 2015, California Governor Jerry Brown announced three
important goals for the state’s energy portfolio. Governor Brown framed these
goals as part of an effort to mitigate climate change and quoted famed
biologist E.O. Wilson’s description of the fight against climate change as a
“moral precept we can agree on.” Governor Brown noted California’s existing
leadership on climate policies, asserting that California has “the most
integrated policy to deal with climate change of any political jurisdiction in
the Western Hemisphere.” However, Governor Brown was not content to rest on
these laurels, noting that “[t]hese efforts, impressive though they are, are
not enough.” Setting his sights on progress to be made in the next fifteen
years, Governor Brown announced these three goals:
Increase from one-third to 50
percent our electricity derived from renewable sources;
Reduce today’s petroleum use in
cars and trucks by up to 50 percent;
Double the efficiency of existing
buildings and make heating fuels cleaner.
Although each goal is important and laudable, this post
focuses on the proposal to expand California’s Renewable Portfolio Standard
(RPS), because this proposal poises California to demonstrate the viability of
expanding this type of affordable, effective renewable energy policy.
Many states have Renewable Portfolio Standards, but few are
as ambitious as California’s current requirement of obtaining 33% of its energy
from renewable resources by 2020. Most states
require less renewable energy and provide more time to develop it. Governor
Brown’s proposal would give California the most ambitious RPS in the nation,
surpassing Hawaii’s
current target of 40% renewable energy by 2030.
Governor Brown’s proposal to expand California’s RPS into
the nation’s most ambitious renewable energy policy is a good idea because it
will likely prove attainable and affordable. California is already on-track to
meeting its current RPS targets, as Governor Brown noted in his address. Most
other states are also meeting their RPS targets as well, demonstrating that
achieving substantial renewable energy development is within reach. Moreover,
as the National Renewable
Energy Laboratory reported in 2012, current renewable energy technologies
are sufficient to meet 80% of U.S. energy demand by 2050 without compromising
grid reliability. This study and the history of successful RPS implementation
throughout the nation suggest that California can achieve Governor Brown’s goal
of 50% renewable energy by 2050.
Second, Governor Brown’s proposal will likely prove
affordable. Lawrence
Berkeley National Laboratory reported in late 2013 that Renewable Portfolio
Standards have generally had modest impacts on electricity rates, seldom raising
rates more than 2%. In contrast, the U.S. Energy
Information Administration expects residential electricity rates to rise
roughly 3% in 2015. Similarly, Brennan
Louw at Renewable Energy World reported in late 2011 that the five states
with the highest levels of solar and wind power had actually seen their
electricity rates increase more slowly than the U.S. average or than states
with the least renewable energy. All these facts suggest that expanding
California’s Renewable Portfolio Standard will prove a sound investment.
Finally, Governor Brown’s proposal is important because it
provides a counterpoint to efforts to freeze or repeal Renewable Portfolio
Standards in several states. The American Legislative Exchange Council, a radically conservative
advocacy group funded by the Koch Brothers and large corporations, has been
spearheading this effort since 2012, when it developed a template for repealing
renewable energy standards. The effort has had only limited success. Although
Ohio froze its RPS requirements last year, the repeal movement largely
failed in 2013
and 2014.
Clare Foran at the National Journal has written an
excellent article explaining the RPS repeal movement and the reasons for
its general lack of success. Ms. Foran attributes the failure of the RPS repeal
movement largely to Republican state legislators who support RPSs because they
create jobs. This is likely true. Renewable Portfolio Standards do create large
numbers of jobs, as the Natural
Resources Defense Council and Mindy
Lubber at Forbes both report.
But the broader point is that Renewable Portfolio Standards
are good policy for the economy and the environment. Critics attack RPSs with
misinformation (such as false
claims about their impacts on electricity rates) and outright vitriol
(including characterizing RPSs as “the
crack cocaine of subsidies”), but in reality RPSs have proven effective
and economically efficient. Governor Brown’s proposal to expand California’s
RPS is precisely the kind of pragmatic, realistic policy that the U.S. energy
market needs. It prepares California to continue its strong history of
leadership in renewable energy development and to show other states that RPSs
are viable policies to promote abundant and affordable renewable energy.
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