Credit: NREL.gov |
By Andrea Lang, Energy Fellow
The Oregon Legislature is likely to vote
on the proposed Clean Electricity and Coal Transition bill in the next few days (either as HB 4036 or as SB 1547). Although the most controversial parts of the
bill focus
on transitioning Oregon off of coal and increasing the state’s renewable
portfolio standard, the bill addresses a number of other energy-related issues.
Among these is a provision that aims to accelerate transportation
electrification. So what is transportation electrification, who wants it, and
what would this bill do to advance it?
What is
transportation electrification?
Transportation electrification refers to the gradual shift
away from gasoline-fueled vehicles towards vehicles that are fueled instead by
electricity. It’s worth noting at the outset that although this sounds like a
shift from old technology to new technology, it is absolutely not. Energy.gov provides a great timeline of what has happened with electric cars, but here are some
highlights: the first electric successful electric car appeared in the U.S. in
1890, and by 1900, one-third of cars on the road were electric. But the debut
of the more affordably priced Ford Model-T in the early 1910s contributed to an
explosion of sales and the corresponding infrastructure—gas stations—to support
gas-fueled vehicles. One of the biggest barriers
to more widespread deployment of electric vehicles today is that existing infrastructure
favors gas-fueled cars because there are many more gas-stations than there are
electric plug-in stations to charge electric vehicles; in short, owning a
gas-fueled vehicle is simply more convenient. Thus, transportation
electrification efforts are largely focused on developing that infrastructure.
Who wants
transportation electrification?
Transportation electrification is a popular idea for
both utilities and environmentalists, so it’s no surprise that a provision
addressing it appears in a bill negotiated as a compromise between both sets of
interests. On the utility side, Edison Electric Institute (an association representing investor-owned utilities
across the country) published a report in 2014 explaining the benefits of transportation electrification
for utilities and recommending ways that utilities can lead in developing that
infrastructure. The report noted that energy efficiency efforts will continue to
cut into utilities’ retail sales, but that transportation electrification could
increase load (demand), ensuring sales long into the future. In addition, the report
recognized that the government is likely to mandate increased electric vehicles
in the future, and that utilities should therefore by at the forefront in
shaping the market for transportation electrification.
For environmentalists, a move towards electric vehicles is
vital for reducing transportation emissions. The transportation sector is
Oregon’s largest-emitting sector, contributing 39% of the state’s total emissions. Although electric vehicles will not be carbon free
until the electric grid is carbon free, electric vehicles in Oregon annually generate roughly 1,500 lbs. of CO2 equivalent (a number that
will drop the greener our grid becomes), compared to the roughly 11,600 lbs.
emitted by gasoline vehicles. Clearly, shifting to electric vehicles on
Oregon’s relatively low-carbon electricity grid would be a huge step towards
reducing emissions from the transportation sector.
What would this bill
do to advance transportation electrification in Oregon?
The bill would require Oregon’s Public Utility Commission
(PUC) to direct the state’s two large investor-owned utilities to submit
applications for programs to accelerate transportation electrification.
Essentially, the bill allows utilities to propose development of electric
vehicle charging infrastructure projects that utilities could recover in their rate
bases if the PUC determines that such proposals are prudent. A similar provision in California has resulted in that state’s PUC approving $67 million in utility spending on 5,000 electric vehicle charging stations. At
the same time, the California PUC rejected a $654 million proposal to build another 25,000 stations.
Clearly, the amount of charging infrastructure development that would occur in
Oregon under the bill will depend on the PUC’s actions related to utility
electrification proposals.
According to the parties that negotiated the proposed bill, the transportation
electrification provision of the proposed bill would be an incremental step in
helping Oregon develop electric vehicle charging infrastructure. I agree. Depending
upon how the PUC would view the prudency of utility proposals, it may be a
pretty small incremental step. To ensure a more robust transformation, Oregon
should build on work already proposed in the state’s “Energizing Oregon” roadmap that includes a comprehensive and organized strategy to
advance the electric vehicle market in Oregon.